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1999 Consumer
Electronics Show
READ
ALL ABOUT IT!

PAGE 1
Wall Street High on CEs
Investment Prospects
The rapidly changing
world of video, voice, and data communications brings many new
investment opportunities, financial analysts told a full audience
yesterday at a panel called Trends to Watch: Financial
Forecasts for the New Millennium. Many satellite TV and
cable stocks, as well as Internet stocks, are attractive buys
as new services become available that will bring those companies
mainstream consumer attention, they noted. One rule of thumb
from KPMG analyst Steven Owen: Bet on bandwidth.
Since people are constantly looking for more and faster services,
companies providing bandwidth solutions should be rewarded,
he argued. Companies building cable boxes and supplying parts
are also good bets, according to Digital Technology Consulting
analyst Myra Moore. As cable set-top boxes move closer to retail
availability--expected within the next 18 months--they will bring
an opportunity for the [consumer electronics] industry
to participate in something the cable industry is doing,
she noted.
Goldman Sachs analyst Lou Kerner, who covers cable and satellite
stocks, argued investors must drop the mentality that the video
delivery business is an either-or proposition. No
longer are the cable and satellite industries viewed on Wall
Street as mutually exclusive, where if cable does well in the
market satellite will not, he said. Both cable and satellite
can co-exist, and in fact both of them can thrive, Kerner
said. Satellite companies have an advantage in their ability
to embrace new technologies quickly, and cable cant do
that, he said. But the cable modems and digital set-tops
being deployed will close satellites best window of opportunity
in a couple of years, he warned. Kerner predicted 1.5 million
cable modems will be in service by the end of this year, and
they will achieve 20 percent penetration in five years. He and
Moore also said they view time-shifting video storage devices
such as TiVo and Replay as long-term good investment bets. They
are simpler than using a VCR, and they have some unique
features that make them attractive, Moore said. Added Kerner:
People dont want to be broadcast to. They want to
watch what they want, when they want to watch it.
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OTHER ISSUES:
Thursday,
Jan. 7, 1999
Friday,
Jan. 8, 1999
Saturday,
Jan. 9, 1999
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